The Unprecedented Rise in Top Grades Across UK Higher Education

The United Kingdom's higher education sector is experiencing a significant surge in first-class honours degrees, with nearly 30 per cent of graduates achieving the highest classification in the 2024-25 academic year. This marks a dramatic shift from less than 13 per cent in 2006-07 and around 16 per cent in 2010-11, according to data from the Higher Education Statistics Agency (HESA) and the Office for Students (OfS). First-class honours, typically awarded for marks of 70 per cent or above, represent exceptional academic performance under the traditional UK undergraduate degree classification system, which also includes upper second-class (2:1, 60-69 per cent), lower second-class (2:2, 50-59 per cent), and third-class (40-49 per cent) degrees.

This trend has placed top institutions like Imperial College London under particular scrutiny, where over 52 per cent of students received first-class degrees in recent years, up from 31 per cent in 2010. While celebrations of student success are common, regulators and employers question whether this reflects genuine improvements or underlying issues like grade inflation.

Spotlight on Elite Russell Group Universities

Prestigious Russell Group universities, known for their research intensity and global rankings, show some of the starkest increases. Imperial College London leads with 53 per cent first-class awards in 2024-25, followed closely by University College London (UCL) at 41 per cent, Durham University at 40 per cent, University of Manchester at 38 per cent, University of Leeds at 37 per cent, University of Oxford at 34 per cent, and University of Cambridge at 33 per cent. These figures represent doublings or more from early 2010s levels for several institutions.

STEM-focused Imperial attributes part of its success to rigorous curricula and high-calibre entrants, but critics argue the consistency across subjects raises eyebrows. For comparison, non-elite providers like the University of Buckingham awarded 52 per cent firsts, while others such as Birmingham Newman University and University of East London saw large unexplained jumps.

This table highlights the accelerated pace at top institutions, prompting debates on equity in degree value.

OfS Scrutiny: Unexplained Awards and Regulatory Concerns

The OfS, the independent regulator for higher education in England, released its latest analysis on 15 January 2026, noting the proportion of first-class degrees fell slightly to 28.8 per cent in 2023-24 from 29.6 per cent the prior year—the third consecutive decline. However, this remains nearly double 2010-11 levels, with 40 per cent of 2023-24 firsts (11.1 percentage points above the modelled 17.7 per cent expectation) deemed 'unexplained' after accounting for entry qualifications, subjects, and prior attainment.

The OfS models predict grades based on statistical factors but flags persistent outliers. Institutions must review algorithms and practices to maintain credibility, as warned by interim director Jean Arnold: 'Students, graduates, and employers must have confidence that qualifications represent accurate achievement.' Links to detailed OfS analysis provide deeper insights.

Historical Context: From Pandemic Peak to Persistent Highs

Grade inflation accelerated during the COVID-19 pandemic, peaking at 37.7 per cent firsts in 2020-21 due to disrupted assessments and generosity. Post-2021 recovery saw a gradual reversal, but levels stabilise far above pre-2010 norms. HESA data shows 1,043,665 qualifications in 2024-25, with first-class awards comprising about 30 per cent overall.

• 1990s: ~8 per cent firsts
• 2006-07: <13 per cent
• 2010-11: 15.8 per cent
• 2020-21: 37.7 per cent (peak)
• 2023-24: 28.8 per cent
• 2024-25: ~30 per cent

Exploring the Causes of the Surge

Several factors contribute to this phenomenon:

• Improved Student Intake: Higher entry standards, with A-level grades rising due to grade inflation at school level.
• Teaching Enhancements: Better support, feedback, and online resources boosting performance.
• Assessment Shifts: Move to coursework, exams with more retakes, and 'no-detriment' policies lingering from pandemic.
• Classification Algorithms: OfS November 2025 report highlights 'inherently inflationary' algorithms pushing borderline cases upward, e.g., 79.5 per cent good honours under new models.
• Market Pressures: Universities compete on rankings and employability metrics tied to good degrees (first/2:1).

While some improvements are legitimate, unexplained portions suggest caution.

University Responses and Defenses

Institutions like Imperial emphasise small-group teaching and high-achieving cohorts. University of Buckingham credits its model for 52 per cent firsts, ranking high in teaching surveys. Universities UK notes progress in restoring rigour since 2023, with many adopting external moderation. Critics like University of Bath's Robertas Zubrickas argue OfS models overlook programme-specific factors.

Explore career paths at these unis via our UK university jobs section.

Impacts on Students, Employers, and the Job Market

For students, more firsts mean competitive edges initially, but dilution risks devaluing the award—employers may prioritise skills over classification. Graduate Outcomes data shows first-class holders at 89.4 per cent employment vs. 84.3 per cent for thirds, but premium shrinks as prevalence rises.

Employers in finance and consulting still favour top unis' firsts, but sectors like tech value portfolios. Prospective academics should check higher ed career advice for navigating this.

Diverse Stakeholder Perspectives

Students celebrate easier targets; one X post noted, 'Finally, hard work pays off without arbitrary caps.' Academics split: some decry lowered bars, others praise inclusivity. Employers call for transparency, while vice-chancellors defend standards.

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Regulatory Measures and Path Forward

OfS ramps up investigations, with two unis breaching regs in 2025. Future: algorithm audits, benchmarking, AI grading pilots for consistency. By 2026-27, expect stabilised ~25-28 per cent if trends hold.

For faculty roles amid changes, visit lecturer jobs.

Photo by Yiran Ding on Unsplash

Actionable Advice for Students and Graduates

• Focus on skills: Build portfolios beyond grades.
• Choose wisely: Research dept rigour via NSS scores.
• Leverage networks: Internships trump marginal grade diffs.
• Post-grad: PhDs value research potential over classification.

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